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IN THIS WEEK'S ISSUE

21 September 2017

  • This Week...Expect the unexpected on election day. That’s not only because the main public polls have produced contradictory results, but also because the campaign has been like no other in recent memory.
  • As the drag race between the two main parties approaches the finish line, it’s opaque what kind of Govt will emerge. It might be National-Maori Party-ACT, National-NZ First, or even National on its own if National wins the most party votes. Otherwise, it could be Labour-NZ First, Labour-Green-NZ First, or Labour-Green-Maori Party.
  • Over the campaign National has made ground in the regions, but in Auckland, apart from its strongholds on the North Shore and across the affluent suburbs to the east. Jacinda Ardern may be able to capture party votes in the West Auckland electorates where National did well under John Key.
  • And methodologies used by political pollsters look likely to come under scrutiny after Saturday’s election. Conflicting opinion polls by the public pollsters have reflected wide variations sufficient to skew perceptions one way or the other.

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