Politics • Economy • Legislation • Trade •
Analysis & Forecasts • Opinion
Politics, economic shifts, legislation/regulations and competition are the four major forces influencing your business opportunities. Each week, TRANS TASMAN brings you the real story behind the news and events shaping the political scene – and the insights and analysis you need to make your organisation even more successful. And its crisply-written, time-saving style allows you to stay up-to-date in the midst of your hectic day.
For more than four decades TRANS TASMAN has been putting its finger on the pulse of the Australian/NZ relationship and the events shaping it, the political and economic trends affecting our lives and businesses…
Ringside On Politics - In his second term, John Key negotiated some tough hurdles, the fallout from the Canterbury earthquakes, the Fonterra botulism scare, and the row over the GCSB spying and Kim Dotcom. The electorate whole heartedly endorsed his handling not only of these issues, but the economy and the governing of the country as a whole. He now has to deliver a legacy building third term, and his vow to tackle inequality and child poverty could provide this. We will have to wait for the necessary policy to be developed. Meanwhile National’s comprehensive election victory will mean there is little threat from the opposition.
The country is still delivering strong growth, but there are headwinds. The global fall in commodity prices and Fonterra’s severe lowering of the dairy payout for next season will have a major impact on Govt finances, and the economy as a whole. The dollar is falling, but is still too high, and the country is still far too dependent on the Christchurch rebuild. However the cautious stewardship of Key and Finance Minister Bill English should see the country through, and voters have confidence they are right for the job.
While Labour is still in disarray, the election of Andrew Little as leader and the party’s determination to reinvent itself could cause the Government problems, especially if it slips into the trap of third term arrogance. The Greens are just treading water and while NZ First increased its share of the vote it is nowhere near being in a position to cause trouble for Key and his now very minor party allies – ACT, United Future and the Maori Party. One plus for National has been the ending of any sort of political threat from the unholy alliance of Kim Ditcom, Hone Harawira and Laila Harre and their Internet/Mana alliance. Colin Craig’s Conservatives came close, but not close enough.
The Economy – NZ weathered the worst global economic crisis in decades, with dairy, log and oil exports driving the country ahead. However a global slump in commodity prices and slowing Chinese demand are taking their toll. The Kiwi dollar is also staying stubbornly high, making it tough for manufacturers, while higher interest rates are also helping keep the kiwi at a high level. Much of the country’s short to medium term economic future will be decided beyond our borders.
Business & Economic Trends – Growth is still strong, but can it last? Will inflation be the next bogey? Can the dollar be restrained while foreign investors pile in? Is there an alternative for NZ if the China trade goes bad, and will the TPP be signed in the near future?
Sector Reports - How are specific sectors of the economy performing? Where are the best opportunities for investment – and what areas are best left alone?
New Legislation & Tax Laws – Market Regulation • Commercial & Corporate Law • Taxation • Kyoto Agreement • Securities • Intellectual Property Rights • Food Safety.
Our special weekly “In the Lobby” column goes right to the heart of what’s happening in the Select Committees and looks at the driving forces in them, the work they’re doing, and their impact on Govt.
Trade – Businesses are already benefiting from new Free Trade deals, especially the one signed with China. Asian markets are growing while European economies are still finding the going tough. The Trans Pacific Partnership is still a key objective. Climate change, and the environment, are moving to be high not just on the political, but also the business, agenda. Water management has become one of the battle grounds for political advantage.
The Sharemarket & Companies in the News - How will you fare under the bull as markets hit new record highs? The swings – and roundabouts. What are the forces at work? Running the rule over the blue chips. Keeping an eye on the “sleepers” who may be tomorrow’s high-fliers. Spotting the movers and the shakers.
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Trans Tasman Political Alert has a team of 6 highly-qualified specialist contributors, analysing discussions and decisions, looking at potential repercussions, identifying trends, listening to Select Committee debate and reporting on opinions, submissions and personalities. We also draw upon a wide range of sources close to the Beehive inner circle who wish to remain anonymous, for obvious reasons.
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